Retirement Scenario Modeler Notes on retirement maths Open the calculator

Notes on retirement maths

Plain-English notes on the retirement maths behind the free Retirement Scenario Modeler: RMDs, Social Security timing, sequence-of-returns risk, and what the projections actually assume.

  • Your Coast FIRE number is lower than you think

    The formula every Coast FIRE calculator uses assumes your portfolio pays for all of retirement. Most people's does not have to. What Social Security does to the number, and how to work it out properly.

  • The ten years that beat thirty

    The same $6,000 a year, started at 20, at 30 and at 40. What compounding does with the difference, and why ten years of saving in your twenties can finish ahead of thirty years of saving after.

  • What this site is for

    A free retirement calculator that answers one question: do I have enough to retire? What it models, who it is for, and what it deliberately leaves out.

  • The gap year problem

    When one partner retires years before the other, the household is neither fully working nor fully retired. Most calculators cannot express that, and the error runs in an optimistic direction.

  • What the projection actually assumes

    Every retirement calculator hides a pile of assumptions behind one number. Here are the ones this tool makes, stated plainly, so you can judge whether the answer applies to you.